Climate change: Future weather extremes likely to break new records

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By Grahame Madge
Increasingly extreme weather is one of the most damaging and costly impacts from climate change.
A new set of projections from the Met Office reveal that extremes of rainfall and high temperatures are expected to exceed the extreme conditions that we have already experienced in the UK, breaking records and placing increasing challenges on health, infrastructure and services.



The latest addition to the set of UK Climate Projections (known as UKCP) will be published by the Met Office today
Professor Jason Lowe OBE is head of the UKCP programme for the Met Office. He said: “Some of the most severe consequences of climate change will come from an increasing frequency and severity of extreme weather events. We know that on average the UK is projected to become hotter and drier in summer, and warmer and wetter in winter – this tells us a lot, but for those assessing climate change risk it’s important to better understand how extreme weather events are likely to change too”.



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Dr Simon Brown one of the key scientists working on the project said: “If you’re designing a flood-relief scheme or building a railway, for example, you can’t assume that the climate will remain the same because we know that it is already changing. The things you want to know will be how much heat or rainfall will my project have to cope with and that is what our projections will do.”



Dr Lizzie Kendon said: “Future work will be to understand these changes in terms of the weather types or storms that drive these changes, to better understand the nature of the changes and help adaptation planning.”
metoffice

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