Shilling to remain in bearish territory

- Advertisement -




The Uganda shilling drifted in narrow range after hitting a near two year low as a result of the Central Bank intervention that was triggered by demand pressures. Trading was in the range of 3655/3665.
Market players remained square to long, taking a cautious approach as political events in Kenya unfolded.



In the interbank money market, there was sufficient liquidity with overnight funds holding steady at 7% while 1 week funds traded at 10%.

- Advertisement -

In the fixed income space, 130 billion was on offer for the treasury bill auction, Yields continued on the downward trajectory as investors’ appetite remained high against reduced offer size. Rates came out at 8,717%, 9.026% and 9.315% for 91,182 and 364 days respectively.

READ: How Ugandan CEO’s are killing their businesses




In the regional markets, the Kenya shilling weakened and hit the lowest level since August and traded at 103.75/55 as markets players were seen building positions in advance over concerns of potential violence during the repeat elections. Markets closed mid-week.

In international markets, the US dollar held firm supported by the prospects of US tax reforms as well the narrow down of two likely candidates for next Federal Reserve Chair. Markets perceptions for both Jerome Powell and John Taylor indicate that they could steer policy in a more hawkish direction.

READ:Is Stanbic Bank Uganda board a welfare board?




In the coming days the shilling is likely to remain in bearish territory as the effects of the Central Bank intervention wear off, however a bit of support could come from end month flows.

read: Forecast for the shilling indicate volatility as pockets of demand continue to play out

The writer works with Alpha Capital Forex Bureau: For competitive Forex Rates call: 0414-580619, 0392-612648

- Advertisement -

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.