Shilling in downward spiral as major market players take positions ahead of next elections

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The Uganda shilling opened 2021 in a downward spiral, undermined by a surge in demand from major market players taking positions ahead of the national elections.
The shilling inched down to trade in the range of 3675/85.

In the regional markets, the Kenya shilling slightly weakened on dollar demand from energy sector and general merchandise importers against subdued inflows from the seasonal remittances. The currency traded at 109.45/65.
While in South Africa, the rand plunged to trade at 15.0575 against the dollar, as traders fretted about a resurgence in Covid-19 infections and possibility of stricter lock-down restrictions.

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In the global markets US dollar traded strong, registering its biggest gain in more than two months against the world major currencies as a rise in US yields triggered some unwinding of bearish bets.
Political developments also played in support as democrats taking effective control of the Senate, opening the way for the incoming Biden administration to push through more spending.

Outlook for the shilling indicate range bound trading, with markets pricing in the outcome of the upcoming elections with traders expected to maintain defensive posture.

The writer works with Alpha Capital Forex Bureau: For competitive Forex Rates VISIT Plot 12 KAMPALA ROAD-CHAM TOWERS SUITE 43: call: 0414-580619, 0392-612648

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