Outlook indicate a bullish shilling amidst anticipated thin demand

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By Stephen Kaboyo

The shilling was on the front foot buoyed by subdued demand against fairly large flows from commodity exporters,
Trading in the range of 3665/3675, about 10/= shillings stronger compared with opening session at the start of the trading week.

In other economic news, the Bank of Uganda keep the policy rate intact, citing anticipated elevated inflationary pressures and risks emanating from the global financial markets
In the fixed income space, there was no primary auction. Activity was seen in the secondary market.

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In the regional markets, the Kenya shilling strengthened hitting its strongest level in six month, backed up by portfolio and horticulture flows in a market characterized by thin demand. Trading was in the range of 100.50/25.
In the global markets, emerging market currencies fell as the dollar held on its gains aided by strong economic data while stock indexes in the developing markets slipped with the Chinese markets remained closed for lunar New Year. Despite the dovish tone from US Federal Reserve, the greenback has stayed resilient.

Outlook indicate a bullish shilling amidst anticipated thin demand.
Other factors that will play in support are the expected renewed interest of portfolio investors in the local debt market and the mid-month tax payments that will reduce the dollar demand

The writer works with Alpha Capital Forex Bureau: For competitive Forex Rates call: 0414-580619, 0392-612648

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